We Can No Longer Afford the Empire
Ivan Eland points out that while the financial meltdown makes bringing the troops back home critical, the signs of imperial overstretch have been obvious for some time. With only 20 percent of the world's GDP, the DC empire accounts for 43 percent of the world's military spending. Numbers like that should open our eyes to our warped priorities and the impossibility of propping them up much longer, but the historical record suggests our leaders don't want to see what's happening:
The bad news is that most waning empires – for example, Britain, France, and the Soviet Union – don't realize that they are declining until it is too late. For example, the French futilely tried to reassert control in Indochina after World War II and failed in bitterly opposing Algeria's independence using armed force; the British, along with the French and Israelis, conducted an ill-fated invasion of Egypt in 1956; and the Soviets became mired in a losing counterinsurgency campaign in Afghanistan during the 1980s. The U.S. may very well now be in similar circumstances.
So which will it be, a soft landing or a hard one? Do we peacefully devolve into manageable political units, or are we condemned to try to rebuild from ashes?


8 Comments:
With several decades of the u.S. shoving the rest of the world around, it may soon be our turn to be pushed by more efficient rivals.
The tragic part is that we were never intended to BE an empire. I don't suppose I need to remind the crowd here that the seeds of which were sowed by Mr. Lincoln and the Black Republicans.
Mark Slater
Re "So which will it be, a soft landing or a hard one? Do we peacefully devolve into manageable political units, or are we condemned to try to rebuild from ashes?"
IMO, it will probably be a combination of both. Rather than attempt to marginally explain myself within commenter limitations, if I may, I'd like to point those who are interested towards my paper presented at the Third NAmerican Secessionist Conference: "Post-Peak Oil and Regional NAmerican Secession." It is available at both my blog and site.
The collapse of industrial civilization is just that: it is systemic and global in scope. Each latent regional and autonomous break-away will determine its own type of escape hatch based on its particular situation and resources at hand. As the saying goes, necessity is the mother of invention, and the world of hurt that awaits us just around the corner will deliver incentive/necessity to act in spades.
Please correct me if I am wrong, but I believe that, by law, states can not carry deficit budgets. I have somewhere recently come across the information (sorry, I can't recall, ergo source it) that about 44 states are currently at the red line, California being possibly the most critical. Of all the fault lines in play, might this one, i.e. state bankruptcy, not be the most crucial for sparking the secessionist flame?
The safe money has always been on "rebuild from ashes".
Mark Slater,
True - the government the Founders established was a republic. Ben Franklin didn't say he and his colleagues had given the American people "An empire if you can keep it." But that's what we've got.
However, it's important to keep in mind how Americans have only supported empire-building as a result of propaganda and outright lies. Think: Fort Sumter, the Maine, Pearl Harbor, the Gulf of Tonkin, and WMD.
Couldn't agree with you more...
Russian Friend of the South,
Thanks! Good to hear from you.
novacadia,
That's true about all the State governnments I'm familiar with. You're right that this could spark more fissures -- but then, these days there are som many cracks in the imperial foundations, who knows what could happen?
Jason,
Hopefully, we can avoid that, but it may be a foregone conclusion. Can people learn from the past? Do they have their eyes open? And are they paying attention?
Right now, I'd say "no" to each. Sad.
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